Phenomenal breakdown — seriously one of the most data-grounded manager profiles I’ve come across in a while.
One angle that might add even more depth: examining xT zones where possession sequences consistently broke down, particularly in relation to timing. I’ve noticed a recurring drop in final-third xT buildup after the 60th minute — possibly linked to substitutions, fatigue, or tactical inflexibility. Curious if you’ve come across any meaningful splits when comparing pre- and post-60th minute metrics (not just xT, but also PPDA, pass networks, or progression routes). Could be another layer to understanding why Olof’s game states often shifted late. Lacking adaptability and in game shifting patterns.
Would love to hear your thoughts on that. Really enjoyed this piece — excellent work!
Incredible response, truly. The goal is someday, we can just talk about things like xT and it will be commonplace, but I've got to get people on board with xG first!
I haven't explicitly examined post-60-minute splits, but there is a visual correlation with CITY and quality degradation after that minute mark, and now you've got me interested, so I'm going to dive deeper!
But a theory I've maintained throughout, without confirming, is that when you've got Subs starting, and then you are subbing Subs, the quality drop off will be significant. Pointing again to the injuries, as we always do.
Phenomenal breakdown — seriously one of the most data-grounded manager profiles I’ve come across in a while.
One angle that might add even more depth: examining xT zones where possession sequences consistently broke down, particularly in relation to timing. I’ve noticed a recurring drop in final-third xT buildup after the 60th minute — possibly linked to substitutions, fatigue, or tactical inflexibility. Curious if you’ve come across any meaningful splits when comparing pre- and post-60th minute metrics (not just xT, but also PPDA, pass networks, or progression routes). Could be another layer to understanding why Olof’s game states often shifted late. Lacking adaptability and in game shifting patterns.
Would love to hear your thoughts on that. Really enjoyed this piece — excellent work!
Incredible response, truly. The goal is someday, we can just talk about things like xT and it will be commonplace, but I've got to get people on board with xG first!
I haven't explicitly examined post-60-minute splits, but there is a visual correlation with CITY and quality degradation after that minute mark, and now you've got me interested, so I'm going to dive deeper!
But a theory I've maintained throughout, without confirming, is that when you've got Subs starting, and then you are subbing Subs, the quality drop off will be significant. Pointing again to the injuries, as we always do.